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English Premier League Betting: Round 4

Preview of the betting markets for round 4 of the English Premier League.

Jack Hartman
September 11, 2021

After what seemed an eternity, the Premier League is back after the first international break of the season. 

 

Our bet for week 3 was a strange one, Newcastle took the lead against Southampton with just minutes to go before conceding a penalty with the final kick of the game to draw 2-2. My bet of the week Leicester left it late to deny Norwich their first points of the season, before Man Utd went onto beat Wolves 1-0 with both teams not scoring.

 

In terms of other results - Tottenham remains the only team in the league who can boast a 100% win record after a scrappy 1-0 win over Watford, Man City scored five goals for the second consecutive week beating ten-man Arsenal. Everton picked up a second win of the season beating Brighton 2-0. Merseyside rivals Liverpool played out an entertaining 1-1 draw with Chelsea, with the points also shared between Aston Villa and Brentford, West Ham and Crystal Palace and Burnley and Leeds. 

 

So with Tottenham sitting pretty at the top and North London rivals at the bottom, and the much anticipated second Man Utd debut for Cristiano Ronaldo, round 4 looks set for another exciting weekend of action. Here are the week 4 matchups 

 

Saturday 

 

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham

Arsenal vs Norwich

Brentford vs Brighton

Leicester vs Man City

Man Utd vs Newcastle 

Southampton vs West Ham

Watford vs Wolves

Chelsea vs Aston Villa

 

Sunday

Leeds vs Liverpool

 

Monday

Everton vs Burnley 

 

Pick 1: Arsenal to beat Norwich - 1/2

 

It seems like I’m picking on Norwich unfairly here as for the second consecutive week I am backing them to lose, but I think Arsenal are going to pick up their first victory of the season here. 

 

It’s easy to forget that Arsenal have played arguably the best two teams in the league consecutively in Chelsea and Man City, very few teams would take many points off those two. Arsenal has also been missing several key players due to COVID. This weekend Arsenal should welcome back Ben White and Thomas Partey is in line to make his first start of the season.

 

The pressure is well and truly on Arsenal and Mikel Arteta, anything else but a win could see the Arsenal board have to think about making a decision. Traditionally this is the sort of home game Arsenal usually win and with some of their key players returning I am backing Arsenal to win here.

 

Pick 2: Brentford to beat Brighton - 9/5

 

With plenty of profit still in the bank following our week 1 win, I am backing another slightly long shot by picking Brentford to beat Brighton. 

 

Brentford will have been delighted to how they have started the new season. Five points from their first three games is a good return. The Bees also return home, after playing their last two games away. Brentford’s last home game was the season’s curtain-raiser against Arsenal. Buoyed by a fantastic home crowd, Brentford ran out comfortable winners. Being back in front of that home crowd could prove the difference this weekend.

They will be pleased at having only conceded the one goal so far and talisman Ivan Toney scored his first league goal of the season, so confidence must be high.

 

For Brighton, it has also been a good start with the Seagulls picking up 6 points from their first three games. They head into this match fresh off the back of a 2-0 defeat to Everton where some of their defensive deficiencies returned. Despite a positive start to the season by Neal Maupay, they still strike me as a team short of goals. At odds of 9/5 I think we are getting some good value for a team that has made a winning start at home and was very good at home last season when in the Championship.

 

Pick 3: Liverpool to beat Leeds - 3/4

 

Leeds have had a low key start after picking up two points from their first three games. The fixture list hasn’t been too kind with an away trip to Old Trafford now coupled with the visit of Liverpool this weekend.

 

Jurgen Klopp will be delighted with how his team have started the season after wins against Norwich and Burnley. They would have expected a bit more after only drawing at home to Chelsea, especially as the Blues were reduced to 10 men for the whole second half. Still, with Liverpool’s key men all back after an injury-hit campaign last year they look like real contenders again.

 

Liverpool are a good team on the road, they have already won their only game played away from Anfield this season and last season picked up 36 points on their travels which was the 5th best in the league. Leeds have conceded eight goals so far this season and have yet to keep a clean sheet. With Mo Salah, Diogo Jota and Sadio Mane all amongst the goals I am backing them to edge what’s bound to be a great game. Liverpool’s odds of 3/4 looks excellent value. 

 

Backing Arsenal, Brentford and Liverpool returns approx 7/1.


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